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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.02+2.16vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.28+0.80vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.94+0.35vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.63-0.12vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.57-1.01vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.10-1.35vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16University of Rhode Island2.020.2%1st Place
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2.8Brown University2.280.3%1st Place
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3.35University of Rhode Island1.940.2%1st Place
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3.88Northeastern University1.630.1%1st Place
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3.99Tufts University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.65Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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6.17Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylie Castellano | 21.1% | 21.0% | 18.4% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 2.6% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 26.3% | 22.6% | 20.1% | 14.6% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Schryver | 18.8% | 16.4% | 19.2% | 17.6% | 15.7% | 9.1% | 3.2% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 12.9% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 18.8% | 16.8% | 5.7% |
| Andrew Savage | 10.8% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 18.4% | 17.9% | 6.7% |
| Lucie Ford | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 18.9% | 27.4% | 14.2% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 13.5% | 66.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.