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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.94+2.29vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.28+0.81vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.02+0.21vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.63-0.12vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.57-1.01vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.10-1.34vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29University of Rhode Island1.940.2%1st Place
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2.81Brown University2.280.3%1st Place
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3.21University of Rhode Island2.020.2%1st Place
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3.88Northeastern University1.630.1%1st Place
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3.99Tufts University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.66Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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6.17Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schryver | 19.2% | 20.2% | 17.7% | 16.1% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 3.3% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 25.8% | 23.3% | 19.7% | 14.6% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Kylie Castellano | 20.9% | 17.7% | 19.0% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 13.0% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 5.5% |
| Andrew Savage | 11.0% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 17.5% | 18.6% | 17.9% | 6.6% |
| Lucie Ford | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 18.7% | 27.6% | 14.2% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 13.7% | 66.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.