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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.94+2.32vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.57+1.86vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.28-0.18vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.63-0.11vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.02-1.75vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.10-1.32vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32University of Rhode Island1.940.2%1st Place
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3.86Tufts University1.570.1%1st Place
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2.82Brown University2.280.3%1st Place
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3.89Northeastern University1.630.1%1st Place
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3.25University of Rhode Island2.020.2%1st Place
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4.68Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
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6.17Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schryver | 19.7% | 18.3% | 17.3% | 17.3% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 3.3% |
| Andrew Savage | 12.2% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 20.5% | 15.6% | 5.4% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 26.1% | 21.8% | 20.1% | 15.5% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 12.8% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 17.4% | 19.8% | 15.8% | 6.3% |
| Kylie Castellano | 19.6% | 18.8% | 19.4% | 16.9% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 2.8% |
| Lucie Ford | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 17.1% | 29.1% | 14.4% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 13.6% | 66.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.