← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.28+1.80vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island1.94+1.29vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University1.63+0.86vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.57-0.06vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.02-1.73vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University1.10-1.34vs Predicted
-
7Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.24-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.8Brown University2.280.3%1st Place
-
3.29University of Rhode Island1.940.2%1st Place
-
3.86Northeastern University1.630.1%1st Place
-
3.94Tufts University1.570.1%1st Place
-
3.27University of Rhode Island2.020.2%1st Place
-
4.66Salve Regina University1.100.1%1st Place
-
6.18Wentworth Institute of Technology-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blaire McCarthy | 27.8% | 22.8% | 18.1% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Schryver | 18.1% | 19.8% | 17.4% | 18.5% | 14.6% | 9.1% | 2.5% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 12.4% | 13.0% | 17.0% | 19.2% | 15.9% | 16.8% | 5.7% |
| Andrew Savage | 13.3% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 19.8% | 17.0% | 6.6% |
| Kylie Castellano | 18.1% | 21.1% | 18.5% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 2.8% |
| Lucie Ford | 8.3% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 19.8% | 26.7% | 14.5% |
| Andrew Reynolds | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 13.0% | 66.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.