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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03+2.12vs Predicted
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2McGill University-1.05+2.88vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College0.03+0.10vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.700.00vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02-1.83vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.38-2.02vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-1.69-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.0322.4%1st Place
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4.88McGill University-1.057.7%1st Place
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3.1Middlebury College0.0321.4%1st Place
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4.0Bates College-0.7011.8%1st Place
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3.17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0220.6%1st Place
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3.98University of New Hampshire-0.3812.8%1st Place
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5.74Amherst College-1.693.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Kenahan | 22.4% | 19.6% | 19.9% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 2.9% |
| Cecilia Muller | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 24.9% | 23.9% |
| Walter Chiles | 21.4% | 22.1% | 17.9% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 2.5% |
| Colby Green | 11.8% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 17.9% | 18.9% | 15.7% | 8.6% |
| William Delong | 20.6% | 19.9% | 19.1% | 16.9% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
| Sean Lund | 12.8% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 19.7% | 16.1% | 8.3% |
| Adrian Whitney | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 18.2% | 50.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.