← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College2.90+2.49vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii3.36+0.87vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Irvine2.22+1.64vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston3.20-0.84vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida3.29-1.96vs Predicted
-
6Tulane University1.90-0.89vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida0.87-0.41vs Predicted
-
8Northwestern University0.29-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.49Eckerd College2.900.2%1st Place
-
2.87University of Hawaii3.360.3%1st Place
-
4.64University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
-
3.16College of Charleston3.200.2%1st Place
-
3.04University of South Florida3.290.2%1st Place
-
5.11Tulane University1.900.1%1st Place
-
6.59University of South Florida0.870.0%1st Place
-
7.11Northwestern University0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emilie Mademann | 16.6% | 15.6% | 20.0% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 11.2% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 25.1% | 21.6% | 19.6% | 17.3% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Ashley Hobson | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 19.9% | 23.4% | 12.0% | 3.6% |
| Grace Lucas | 19.5% | 21.1% | 17.5% | 19.8% | 13.1% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Abby Featherstone | 22.6% | 21.7% | 18.4% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Mackenzie Milne | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 17.5% | 26.5% | 17.4% | 6.6% |
| Kirsten Hunt | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 13.0% | 35.1% | 33.6% |
| Sarah Hughes | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 26.2% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.