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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.99+1.76vs Predicted
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2Amherst College0.53+1.44vs Predicted
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3Bentley University1.03-0.27vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.35+2.15vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University-0.22-0.32vs Predicted
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6Sacred Heart University0.35-2.22vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.18-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76Tufts University0.990.3%1st Place
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3.44Amherst College0.530.2%1st Place
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2.73Bentley University1.030.3%1st Place
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6.15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.350.0%1st Place
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4.68Fairfield University-0.220.1%1st Place
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3.78Sacred Heart University0.350.1%1st Place
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4.45University of Connecticut-0.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elena Gonick | 26.9% | 23.6% | 18.9% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Adam Gibbs | 16.6% | 16.2% | 18.7% | 20.4% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 3.7% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 26.8% | 23.2% | 20.9% | 14.3% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| David Shlimak | 1.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 63.3% |
| Giles Ruck | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 19.5% | 27.2% | 14.3% |
| Brian Hayes | 12.2% | 14.6% | 18.1% | 17.9% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 4.8% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 19.5% | 24.9% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.