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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Amherst College0.53+2.42vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.99+0.77vs Predicted
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3Bentley University1.03-0.27vs Predicted
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4Sacred Heart University0.35-0.18vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University-0.22-0.32vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-0.18-1.42vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.35-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Amherst College0.530.2%1st Place
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2.77Tufts University0.990.3%1st Place
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2.73Bentley University1.030.3%1st Place
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3.82Sacred Heart University0.350.1%1st Place
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4.68Fairfield University-0.220.1%1st Place
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4.58University of Connecticut-0.180.1%1st Place
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6.0University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Gibbs | 17.8% | 17.9% | 16.7% | 18.1% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 3.4% |
| Elena Gonick | 25.2% | 23.7% | 21.4% | 14.6% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 26.0% | 24.6% | 21.0% | 13.9% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Brian Hayes | 13.6% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 18.1% | 17.9% | 15.2% | 5.7% |
| Giles Ruck | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 21.1% | 24.4% | 14.9% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 8.1% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 20.1% | 23.6% | 14.4% |
| David Shlimak | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 16.0% | 59.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.