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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bentley University1.03+1.41vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University-0.22+2.02vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.99-0.55vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut-0.18+0.05vs Predicted
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5Sacred Heart University0.35-1.68vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-2.09+0.30vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.35-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41Bentley University1.030.3%1st Place
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4.02Fairfield University-0.220.1%1st Place
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2.45Tufts University0.990.3%1st Place
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4.05University of Connecticut-0.180.1%1st Place
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3.32Sacred Heart University0.350.1%1st Place
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6.3Amherst College-2.090.0%1st Place
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5.45University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Memoli | 32.1% | 28.4% | 17.6% | 13.3% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Giles Ruck | 8.7% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 21.6% | 24.9% | 14.4% | 4.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 32.2% | 24.6% | 20.8% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 8.3% | 11.7% | 16.3% | 18.3% | 24.7% | 17.1% | 3.6% |
| Brian Hayes | 14.3% | 19.1% | 20.8% | 21.9% | 15.4% | 6.8% | 1.7% |
| Emily Graham | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 20.3% | 64.1% |
| David Shlimak | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 15.1% | 37.1% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.