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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bentley University1.03+1.40vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut-0.18+1.98vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.99-0.56vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-0.22+0.10vs Predicted
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5Sacred Heart University0.35-1.67vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.35-0.45vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-2.09-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Bentley University1.030.3%1st Place
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3.98University of Connecticut-0.180.1%1st Place
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2.44Tufts University0.990.3%1st Place
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4.1Fairfield University-0.220.1%1st Place
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3.33Sacred Heart University0.350.1%1st Place
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5.55University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.350.0%1st Place
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6.2Amherst College-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Memoli | 32.1% | 28.7% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 6.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 9.2% | 11.0% | 16.6% | 20.7% | 24.4% | 14.1% | 4.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 32.2% | 24.3% | 21.7% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Giles Ruck | 8.0% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 18.5% | 26.7% | 16.1% | 4.5% |
| Brian Hayes | 14.3% | 18.9% | 21.6% | 21.6% | 14.5% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| David Shlimak | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 38.8% | 28.2% |
| Emily Graham | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 21.3% | 60.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.