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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bentley University1.03+1.39vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.99+0.40vs Predicted
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3Sacred Heart University0.35+0.31vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-0.22+0.09vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut-0.18-0.95vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-2.09+0.31vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.35-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39Bentley University1.030.3%1st Place
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2.4Tufts University0.990.3%1st Place
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3.31Sacred Heart University0.350.1%1st Place
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4.09Fairfield University-0.220.1%1st Place
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4.05University of Connecticut-0.180.1%1st Place
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6.31Amherst College-2.090.0%1st Place
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5.44University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Memoli | 33.9% | 26.0% | 17.3% | 14.8% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Elena Gonick | 30.8% | 28.3% | 21.4% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Brian Hayes | 14.3% | 18.0% | 22.8% | 20.5% | 16.4% | 7.2% | 0.8% |
| Giles Ruck | 8.6% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 19.4% | 24.8% | 17.7% | 3.9% |
| Anne Cathrine Longo | 7.8% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 21.6% | 23.7% | 14.4% | 4.9% |
| Emily Graham | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 21.1% | 63.7% |
| David Shlimak | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 15.7% | 36.5% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.