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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.14+1.02vs Predicted
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2University of Connecticut0.70+0.43vs Predicted
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3Sacred Heart University0.03+0.30vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-0.09-0.55vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11-0.26vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-2.30-0.01vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-2.49-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02Tufts University1.140.4%1st Place
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2.43University of Connecticut0.700.3%1st Place
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3.3Sacred Heart University0.030.1%1st Place
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3.45Bentley University-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.74University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.0%1st Place
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5.99Amherst College-2.300.0%1st Place
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6.07Fairfield University-2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lera Anders | 42.7% | 28.8% | 16.2% | 9.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ellen Fuller | 27.2% | 29.3% | 24.2% | 12.5% | 5.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Aleix Monmany Balaguer | 11.8% | 17.8% | 24.8% | 25.0% | 15.6% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
| Brian Kiley | 12.2% | 15.6% | 21.2% | 25.4% | 17.9% | 6.9% | 0.8% |
| Benjamin Xu | 3.6% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 16.4% | 35.5% | 22.3% | 8.1% |
| Katherine Boback | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 12.8% | 35.7% | 41.0% |
| Jillian Casey | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 29.2% | 49.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.