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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Sacred Heart University0.03+2.24vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.14+0.02vs Predicted
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3Bentley University-0.09+0.43vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut0.70-1.50vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11-0.25vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-2.30-0.02vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-2.49-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24Sacred Heart University0.030.1%1st Place
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2.02Tufts University1.140.4%1st Place
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3.43Bentley University-0.090.1%1st Place
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2.5University of Connecticut0.700.3%1st Place
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4.75University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.0%1st Place
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5.98Amherst College-2.300.0%1st Place
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6.07Fairfield University-2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleix Monmany Balaguer | 14.2% | 18.6% | 23.1% | 24.2% | 14.3% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Lera Anders | 41.0% | 31.5% | 16.1% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brian Kiley | 12.1% | 14.6% | 23.2% | 25.4% | 18.2% | 5.7% | 0.8% |
| Ellen Fuller | 26.9% | 27.1% | 22.9% | 16.0% | 6.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Xu | 3.2% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 16.4% | 35.1% | 22.5% | 8.3% |
| Katherine Boback | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 13.3% | 35.9% | 40.7% |
| Jillian Casey | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 29.8% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.