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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Sacred Heart University0.03+1.54vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.14-0.42vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11+0.60vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-0.09-1.33vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-2.49-1.22vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-4.48-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54Sacred Heart University0.030.2%1st Place
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1.58Tufts University1.140.6%1st Place
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3.6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.1%1st Place
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2.67Bentley University-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.78Fairfield University-2.490.0%1st Place
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5.83Amherst College-4.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleix Monmany Balaguer | 19.3% | 30.0% | 31.4% | 16.2% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Lera Anders | 58.6% | 27.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Xu | 6.7% | 9.8% | 18.4% | 47.5% | 16.7% | 0.9% |
| Brian Kiley | 14.5% | 29.4% | 33.7% | 19.2% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Jillian Casey | 0.7% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 13.3% | 66.4% | 11.9% |
| Megan Dear | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 10.6% | 87.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.