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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.14+0.60vs Predicted
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2Sacred Heart University0.03+0.52vs Predicted
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3Bentley University-0.09-0.36vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11-0.36vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-2.49-1.23vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-4.48-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.6Tufts University1.140.6%1st Place
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2.52Sacred Heart University0.030.2%1st Place
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2.64Bentley University-0.090.2%1st Place
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3.64University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.0%1st Place
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4.77Fairfield University-2.490.0%1st Place
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5.83Amherst College-4.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lera Anders | 57.6% | 28.1% | 11.5% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aleix Monmany Balaguer | 19.4% | 30.7% | 31.7% | 15.3% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Brian Kiley | 17.0% | 27.4% | 32.6% | 20.4% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Xu | 4.9% | 10.3% | 18.9% | 47.9% | 17.3% | 0.7% |
| Jillian Casey | 1.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 12.4% | 66.9% | 11.8% |
| Megan Dear | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 10.3% | 87.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.