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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.14+0.60vs Predicted
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2Bentley University-0.09+0.62vs Predicted
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3Sacred Heart University0.03-0.45vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11-1.36vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-2.49-1.23vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-4.48-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.6Tufts University1.140.6%1st Place
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2.62Bentley University-0.090.2%1st Place
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2.55Sacred Heart University0.030.2%1st Place
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3.64University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.1%1st Place
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4.77Fairfield University-2.490.0%1st Place
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5.83Amherst College-4.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lera Anders | 57.5% | 28.0% | 11.9% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Kiley | 17.8% | 27.8% | 32.9% | 17.8% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Aleix Monmany Balaguer | 18.3% | 31.0% | 30.6% | 18.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Xu | 5.3% | 9.8% | 19.5% | 47.4% | 17.3% | 0.7% |
| Jillian Casey | 1.0% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 12.8% | 66.7% | 11.8% |
| Megan Dear | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 10.3% | 87.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.