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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.80+1.72vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.22+0.28vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.04-0.50vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.32+0.94vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine0.90+0.58vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.73-0.20vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.49-0.81vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College0.56-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72University of South Florida2.800.2%1st Place
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2.28College of Charleston3.220.3%1st Place
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2.5University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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4.94Tulane University1.320.0%1st Place
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5.58University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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5.8University of South Florida0.730.0%1st Place
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6.19Northwestern University0.490.0%1st Place
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5.99Eckerd College0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachael Silverstein | 23.2% | 24.3% | 26.2% | 14.7% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Corey Hall | 33.3% | 29.0% | 21.1% | 10.8% | 4.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 28.1% | 25.9% | 25.2% | 12.5% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mary Duncan | 4.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 17.8% | 21.6% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 7.8% |
| Kate Andersen | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 13.4% | 17.8% | 20.0% | 20.8% | 15.3% |
| Christine Sayler | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 20.1% | 19.1% | 21.8% |
| Gabrielle Salvaterra | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 17.1% | 21.6% | 31.4% |
| Julia Melton | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 20.7% | 21.9% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.