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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.14+7.89vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.91+7.91vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.56+4.13vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.25+4.15vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.35+2.70vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.03+3.15vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.96+2.42vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.69+2.48vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.80-3.05vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.76+4.32vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.86-0.95vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.46-4.32vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.04-4.06vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.60-3.34vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.73-4.61vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.14-7.19vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.51-5.52vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.33-6.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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9.91Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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7.13U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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8.15Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
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7.7George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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9.15Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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9.42Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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10.48Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.95U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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14.32George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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10.05Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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7.68Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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8.94Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
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10.66George Washington University1.600.0%1st Place
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10.39George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.81Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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11.48Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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11.9Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica McJones | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Marley Mais | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Carly Broussard | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% |
| Morgan Sailer | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hardee | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 37.2% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Haddon Hughes | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Macey McCann | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Marie Line | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 8.8% |
| Colleen Baumann | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.