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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.14+7.89vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.56+5.08vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.80+3.10vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.60+6.85vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.86+4.77vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.76+8.18vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.04+2.10vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.91+1.63vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.25-0.87vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.03-0.58vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.35-3.09vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.46-4.25vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University1.69-2.55vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.33-2.24vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.14-6.39vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.51-4.51vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University1.96-7.35vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.73-7.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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7.08U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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6.1U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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10.85George Washington University1.600.0%1st Place
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9.77Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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14.18George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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9.1Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
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9.63Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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8.13Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
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9.42Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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7.91George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.75Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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10.45Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
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11.76Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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8.61Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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11.49Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.65Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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10.22George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica McJones | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Brittney Slook | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Marie Line | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Sarah Hardee | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 15.1% | 33.8% |
| Macey McCann | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| Marley Mais | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Haddon Hughes | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Morgan Sailer | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% |
| Colleen Baumann | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.9% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 9.9% |
| Carly Broussard | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.4% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.