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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.25+7.43vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.69+8.90vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.80+3.13vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.03+5.02vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.91+4.58vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.86+3.87vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.04+2.10vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.14+0.62vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.56-2.18vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.73+0.71vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.96-1.44vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.46-4.33vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.35-5.34vs Predicted
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14George Washington University0.76-0.12vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.51-3.73vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.33-3.81vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.60-5.86vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.14-9.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.43Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
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10.9Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
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6.13U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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9.02Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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9.58Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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9.87Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.1Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
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8.62U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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6.82U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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10.71George Washington University1.730.1%1st Place
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9.56Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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7.67Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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7.66George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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13.88George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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11.27Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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12.19Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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11.14George Washington University1.600.0%1st Place
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8.46Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marley Mais | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% |
| Morgan Sailer | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% |
| Macey McCann | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Jessica McJones | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Brittney Slook | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 5.5% |
| Carly Broussard | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Haddon Hughes | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Hardee | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 31.4% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 7.9% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 13.6% |
| Marie Line | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.