← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.03+8.31vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University1.69+8.86vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy2.80+3.18vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.56+2.85vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.25+3.18vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University1.86+3.92vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University1.51+4.30vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University1.91+1.57vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy2.14-0.35vs Predicted
-
10Georgetown University2.04-0.61vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University1.60+0.07vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University2.14-3.00vs Predicted
-
13George Washington University1.73-2.76vs Predicted
-
14Georgetown University1.96-4.85vs Predicted
-
15George Washington University2.35-7.29vs Predicted
-
16Old Dominion University1.33-3.87vs Predicted
-
17Georgetown University2.46-9.52vs Predicted
-
18George Washington University0.76-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.31Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
-
10.86Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
-
6.18U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
-
6.85U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
-
8.18Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
-
9.92Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
-
11.3Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
-
9.57Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
-
8.65U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
-
9.39Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
-
11.07George Washington University1.600.0%1st Place
-
9.0Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
-
10.24George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
-
9.15Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
-
7.71George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
-
12.13Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
-
7.48Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
-
14.03George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Morgan Sailer | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brittney Slook | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Marley Mais | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Jessica McJones | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Macey McCann | 6.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Marie Line | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.0% |
| Carly Broussard | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 13.8% |
| Haddon Hughes | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Hardee | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 14.3% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.