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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.03+8.35vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.91+7.89vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.69+7.86vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.80+1.97vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.25+3.19vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.86+3.82vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.56-0.08vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.14+0.59vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.04+0.03vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.46-2.42vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.73-0.44vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.60-0.64vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.35-5.37vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.14-5.61vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University1.96-5.68vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.51-4.65vs Predicted
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17George Washington University0.76-2.71vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.33-6.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.35Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.89Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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10.86Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.97U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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8.19Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
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9.82Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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8.59U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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9.03Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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7.58Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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10.56George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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11.36George Washington University1.600.0%1st Place
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7.63George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.39Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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9.32Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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11.35Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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14.29George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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11.9Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 2.2% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Morgan Sailer | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 12.4% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Marley Mais | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
| Brittney Slook | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Jessica McJones | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Macey McCann | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Haddon Hughes | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.9% |
| Marie Line | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Carly Broussard | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% |
| Sarah Hardee | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 14.4% | 34.9% |
| Colleen Baumann | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.