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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.69+9.77vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.86+8.14vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.04+6.36vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.60+6.87vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.35+2.75vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.03+3.10vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.80-1.00vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.91+1.55vs Predicted
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9George Washington University0.76+5.15vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.14-1.09vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.46-3.56vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.14-2.90vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.51-1.87vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.33-2.24vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.73-4.60vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.56-9.03vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University1.96-7.38vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.25-10.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.77Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.14Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.36Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.87George Washington University1.600.0%1st Place
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7.75George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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9.1Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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6.0U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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9.55Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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14.15George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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8.91Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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7.44Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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11.13Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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11.76Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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10.4George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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6.97U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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9.62Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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8.0Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Sailer | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.6% |
| Macey McCann | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Marie Line | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Groble | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Sarah Hardee | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 14.2% | 33.7% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Haddon Hughes | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.8% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% |
| Brittney Slook | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Carly Broussard | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Marley Mais | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.