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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii3.04+1.44vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.22+0.27vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.80-0.20vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine0.90+1.56vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.32-0.05vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.56+0.05vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.49-0.81vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.73-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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2.27College of Charleston3.220.3%1st Place
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2.8University of South Florida2.800.2%1st Place
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5.56University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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4.95Tulane University1.320.0%1st Place
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6.05Eckerd College0.560.0%1st Place
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6.19Northwestern University0.490.0%1st Place
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5.74University of South Florida0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Kennedy | 29.8% | 26.2% | 24.1% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Corey Hall | 33.7% | 29.8% | 19.1% | 12.1% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 22.1% | 21.6% | 28.1% | 16.7% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kate Andersen | 2.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 12.2% | 17.3% | 19.8% | 21.7% | 14.7% |
| Mary Duncan | 4.4% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 19.0% | 19.9% | 19.0% | 14.8% | 7.0% |
| Julia Melton | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 19.4% | 19.6% | 28.0% |
| Gabrielle Salvaterra | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 22.1% | 31.6% |
| Christine Sayler | 2.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 19.5% | 19.9% | 20.8% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.