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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.80+5.22vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.03+7.38vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.56+4.07vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.69+6.45vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.86+4.78vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.35+1.77vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.51+4.33vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.46-0.71vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.14-0.36vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.91-0.07vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.73-0.48vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University1.96-2.15vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.76+0.99vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.25-6.05vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.60-4.08vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.33-3.79vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.14-8.16vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.04-9.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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9.38Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
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7.07U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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10.45Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.78Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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7.77George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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11.33Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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7.29Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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8.64U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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9.93Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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10.52George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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9.85Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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13.99George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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7.95Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
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10.92George Washington University1.600.0%1st Place
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12.21Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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8.84Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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8.87Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia de Olazarra | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Brittney Slook | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Sailer | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 8.1% |
| Haddon Hughes | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% |
| Carly Broussard | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Sarah Hardee | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 34.2% |
| Marley Mais | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Marie Line | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 7.3% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 14.9% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Macey McCann | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.