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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.35+7.00vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.60+9.25vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.80+3.21vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.56+2.90vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.04+4.03vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.86+3.86vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.69+3.59vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.14+0.62vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.03+0.09vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.76+4.31vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.73-0.40vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.25-3.46vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.91-3.55vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.51-3.01vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.14-6.36vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.46-8.57vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University1.96-7.45vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University1.33-6.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.0George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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11.25George Washington University1.600.0%1st Place
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6.21U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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6.9U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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9.03Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
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9.86Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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10.59Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.62U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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9.09Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
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14.31George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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10.6George Washington University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.54Georgetown University2.250.1%1st Place
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9.45Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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10.99Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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8.64Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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7.43Georgetown University2.460.1%1st Place
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9.55Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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11.93Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Marie Line | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 6.7% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brittney Slook | 10.3% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Macey McCann | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% |
| Morgan Sailer | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% |
| Jessica McJones | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Sarah Hardee | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 13.7% | 36.2% |
| Chiara Perotti Correa | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% |
| Marley Mais | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Haddon Hughes | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Carly Broussard | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Colleen Baumann | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.