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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.14+3.60vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland0.80+6.56vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.96+1.99vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.59+5.30vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.90+3.47vs Predicted
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6Princeton University2.35-1.96vs Predicted
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7William and Mary1.06+0.85vs Predicted
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8Villanova University0.91+0.42vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.52-2.58vs Predicted
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10Stevens Institute of Technology0.72-0.95vs Predicted
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11Queen's University1.89-5.60vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University0.55-2.22vs Predicted
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13Washington College1.26-5.47vs Predicted
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14Virginia Tech0.59-4.70vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.31-3.12vs Predicted
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16Rochester Institute of Technology-1.34-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6SUNY Maritime College2.140.2%1st Place
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8.56University of Maryland0.800.0%1st Place
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4.99Christopher Newport University1.960.1%1st Place
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9.3Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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8.47SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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4.04Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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7.85William and Mary1.060.1%1st Place
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8.42Villanova University0.910.0%1st Place
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6.42Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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9.05Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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5.4Queen's University1.890.1%1st Place
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9.78Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
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7.53Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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9.3Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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11.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.310.0%1st Place
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13.71Rochester Institute of Technology-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Lawless | 15.3% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Daitch | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 13.3% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 18.6% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miguel Monllor | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Townsend Morey | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Gittens | 11.8% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Warner | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Stancil | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 26.5% | 19.6% | 0.0% |
| William Siegener | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 6.1% | 14.9% | 63.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.