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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland0.80+7.61vs Predicted
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2Villanova University0.91+6.20vs Predicted
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3Columbia University1.52+3.35vs Predicted
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4Princeton University2.35+0.10vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.89+0.43vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University0.55+3.55vs Predicted
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7Washington College1.26+0.18vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.59+1.44vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.14-4.52vs Predicted
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10William and Mary1.06-1.99vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech0.59-1.56vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.96-6.76vs Predicted
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13Stevens Institute of Technology0.72-3.71vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-1.34-0.16vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.31-3.12vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook0.90-7.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.61University of Maryland0.800.0%1st Place
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8.2Villanova University0.910.0%1st Place
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6.35Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.1Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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5.43Queen's University1.890.1%1st Place
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9.55Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
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7.18Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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9.44Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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4.48SUNY Maritime College2.140.1%1st Place
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8.01William and Mary1.060.1%1st Place
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9.44Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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5.24Christopher Newport University1.960.1%1st Place
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9.29Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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13.84Rochester Institute of Technology-1.340.0%1st Place
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11.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.310.0%1st Place
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8.39SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Daitch | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 19.1% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Gittens | 12.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Warner | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 13.1% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miguel Monllor | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 11.6% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Townsend Morey | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| William Siegener | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 14.2% | 65.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Stancil | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 14.7% | 27.6% | 17.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.