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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University2.35+2.98vs Predicted
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2Washington College1.26+5.10vs Predicted
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3William and Mary1.06+4.81vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.89+1.28vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.14-0.31vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland0.80+2.82vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.96-1.87vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.59+1.42vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.52-2.64vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech0.59-0.58vs Predicted
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11Stevens Institute of Technology0.72-1.92vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook0.90-3.53vs Predicted
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13Villanova University0.91-4.39vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.31-1.96vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University0.55-5.49vs Predicted
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16Rochester Institute of Technology-1.34-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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7.1Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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7.81William and Mary1.060.1%1st Place
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5.28Queen's University1.890.1%1st Place
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4.69SUNY Maritime College2.140.1%1st Place
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8.82University of Maryland0.800.0%1st Place
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5.13Christopher Newport University1.960.1%1st Place
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9.42Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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6.36Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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9.42Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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9.08Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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8.47SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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8.61Villanova University0.910.0%1st Place
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12.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.310.0%1st Place
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9.51Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
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13.71Rochester Institute of Technology-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Mraz | 20.0% | 19.7% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miguel Monllor | 5.3% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Scott Gittens | 12.1% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 14.7% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Daitch | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 12.9% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Townsend Morey | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Stancil | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 27.8% | 21.7% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Warner | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| William Siegener | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 15.9% | 62.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.