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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.96+4.02vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.35+1.97vs Predicted
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3William and Mary1.06+4.81vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University0.55+5.48vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland0.80+3.79vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.26+1.32vs Predicted
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7Villanova University0.91+1.33vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook0.90+0.43vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.52-2.59vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech0.59-0.47vs Predicted
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11Stevens Institute of Technology0.72-1.98vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.14-7.18vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech0.59-3.47vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.31-1.97vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-1.34-1.22vs Predicted
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16Queen's University1.89-10.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02Christopher Newport University1.960.1%1st Place
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3.97Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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7.81William and Mary1.060.1%1st Place
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9.48Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
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8.79University of Maryland0.800.0%1st Place
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7.32Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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8.33Villanova University0.910.1%1st Place
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8.43SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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6.41Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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9.53Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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9.02Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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4.82SUNY Maritime College2.140.1%1st Place
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9.53Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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12.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.310.0%1st Place
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13.78Rochester Institute of Technology-1.340.0%1st Place
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5.27Queen's University1.890.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vir Menon | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 19.9% | 18.0% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miguel Monllor | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Warner | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Cole Daitch | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Townsend Morey | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 13.5% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Jack Stancil | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 30.4% | 19.8% | 0.0% |
| William Siegener | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 15.5% | 63.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Gittens | 11.3% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.