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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.96+3.99vs Predicted
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2Villanova University0.91+6.13vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.06+7.96vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.89+1.22vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology0.72+3.87vs Predicted
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6William and Mary1.06+1.85vs Predicted
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7Columbia University1.52-0.65vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University0.55+1.40vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.14-4.59vs Predicted
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10Princeton University2.35-5.92vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook0.90-2.67vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.31-0.02vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-0.06-2.04vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-1.34-0.24vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.26-7.89vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland0.80-7.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99Christopher Newport University1.960.1%1st Place
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8.13Villanova University0.910.0%1st Place
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10.96Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.22Queen's University1.890.1%1st Place
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8.87Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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7.85William and Mary1.060.0%1st Place
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6.35Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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9.4Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
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4.41SUNY Maritime College2.140.1%1st Place
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4.08Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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8.33SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
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11.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.310.0%1st Place
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10.96Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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13.76Rochester Institute of Technology-1.340.0%1st Place
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7.11Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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8.56University of Maryland0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vir Menon | 12.5% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 20.7% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Scott Gittens | 11.8% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Townsend Morey | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Miguel Monllor | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Warner | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 14.8% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 18.5% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Stancil | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 15.3% | 26.4% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 20.7% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| William Siegener | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 14.4% | 63.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cole Daitch | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.