← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Maritime College2.14+3.43vs Predicted
-
2Villanova University0.91+6.03vs Predicted
-
3Washington College1.26+4.04vs Predicted
-
4William and Mary1.06+3.76vs Predicted
-
5Columbia University1.52+1.35vs Predicted
-
6Stevens Institute of Technology0.72+2.96vs Predicted
-
7Virginia Tech0.59+2.22vs Predicted
-
8Christopher Newport University1.35-1.17vs Predicted
-
9Queen's University1.89-3.94vs Predicted
-
10Virginia Tech0.59-0.78vs Predicted
-
11Princeton University2.35-7.02vs Predicted
-
12Syracuse University0.55-2.55vs Predicted
-
13University of Maryland0.80-4.13vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Stony Brook0.90-5.45vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.31-3.20vs Predicted
-
16Rochester Institute of Technology-1.34-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.43SUNY Maritime College2.140.2%1st Place
-
8.03Villanova University0.910.1%1st Place
-
7.04Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
-
7.76William and Mary1.060.1%1st Place
-
6.35Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
-
8.96Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
-
9.22Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
-
6.83Christopher Newport University1.350.1%1st Place
-
5.06Queen's University1.890.1%1st Place
-
9.22Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
-
3.98Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
-
9.45Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
-
8.87University of Maryland0.800.0%1st Place
-
8.55SUNY Stony Brook0.900.0%1st Place
-
11.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.310.0%1st Place
-
13.68Rochester Institute of Technology-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Lawless | 16.3% | 17.4% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Miguel Monllor | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 8.9% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Townsend Morey | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Scott Gittens | 11.8% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 18.0% | 17.6% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Warner | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Cole Daitch | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Jack Stancil | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 26.5% | 19.0% | 0.0% |
| William Siegener | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 14.3% | 63.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.