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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University0.91+7.39vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook1.41+4.74vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.89+2.33vs Predicted
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4William and Mary1.06+4.01vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.52+1.67vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University0.55+3.67vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland0.80+1.81vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.14-3.24vs Predicted
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9Princeton University2.35-4.90vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.96-4.70vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech0.59-1.49vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech0.59-2.49vs Predicted
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13Washington College1.26-5.37vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology0.72-4.63vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-1.34-1.19vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.31-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.39Villanova University0.910.1%1st Place
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6.74SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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5.33Queen's University1.890.1%1st Place
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8.01William and Mary1.060.0%1st Place
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6.67Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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9.67Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
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8.81University of Maryland0.800.0%1st Place
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4.76SUNY Maritime College2.140.1%1st Place
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4.1Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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5.3Christopher Newport University1.960.1%1st Place
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9.51Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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9.51Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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7.63Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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9.37Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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13.81Rochester Institute of Technology-1.340.0%1st Place
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11.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Ward | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Scott Gittens | 11.0% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miguel Monllor | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Warner | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Cole Daitch | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 14.2% | 15.8% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 18.1% | 17.9% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 5.3% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Townsend Morey | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| William Siegener | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 15.5% | 63.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Stancil | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 28.4% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.