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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University0.91+7.40vs Predicted
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2Washington College1.26+5.27vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.14+1.69vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology0.72+5.10vs Predicted
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5William and Mary1.06+3.12vs Predicted
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6Queen's University1.89-0.59vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.96-1.88vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.52-1.45vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech0.59+0.46vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University0.55-0.23vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland0.80-2.12vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook1.41-4.88vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech0.59-3.54vs Predicted
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14Princeton University2.35-9.67vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.31-2.97vs Predicted
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16Rochester Institute of Technology-1.34-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.4Villanova University0.910.1%1st Place
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7.27Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
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4.69SUNY Maritime College2.140.1%1st Place
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9.1Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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8.12William and Mary1.060.0%1st Place
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5.41Queen's University1.890.1%1st Place
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5.12Christopher Newport University1.960.1%1st Place
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6.55Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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9.46Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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9.77Syracuse University0.550.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Maryland0.800.0%1st Place
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7.12SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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9.46Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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4.33Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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12.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.310.0%1st Place
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13.76Rochester Institute of Technology-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Ward | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 14.0% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Townsend Morey | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Miguel Monllor | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Scott Gittens | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vir Menon | 13.6% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Warner | 3.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Cole Daitch | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 17.4% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Stancil | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 13.8% | 29.2% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
| William Siegener | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 14.7% | 64.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.