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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.45+3.51vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.31+0.68vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.79+0.75vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.79+2.35vs Predicted
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5Villanova University0.26+2.95vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.79-2.25vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.60-0.04vs Predicted
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8Columbia University-0.24+1.39vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.37-1.38vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College0.49-2.80vs Predicted
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11Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32-1.24vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University-0.72-1.20vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland0.45-5.50vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.18-4.54vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.35-2.76vs Predicted
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16Rochester Institute of Technology-2.36-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51Queen's University1.450.1%1st Place
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2.68Christopher Newport University2.310.3%1st Place
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3.75Virginia Tech1.790.2%1st Place
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6.35SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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7.95Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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3.75Virginia Tech1.790.2%1st Place
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6.96Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
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9.39Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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7.62William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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7.2SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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9.76Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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10.8Syracuse University-0.720.0%1st Place
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7.5University of Maryland0.450.0%1st Place
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9.46Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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12.24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.350.0%1st Place
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13.82Rochester Institute of Technology-2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bruce | 14.0% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 32.8% | 23.5% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 17.4% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 17.4% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Proud | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Wiggins | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Dane Brazinski | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 16.8% | 17.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Derek Safieh | 4.4% | 3.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Larson | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Johnston | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 13.9% | 30.1% | 19.3% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Hall1 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 7.6% | 14.7% | 63.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.