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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.31+1.78vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.79+1.69vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.24+6.36vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.45+0.54vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.79+1.42vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.49+1.28vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.72+3.65vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech1.79-4.31vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.35+3.27vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.60-3.14vs Predicted
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11William and Mary0.37-3.33vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.18-2.65vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland0.45-5.49vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32-4.16vs Predicted
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15Villanova University0.26-7.06vs Predicted
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16Rochester Institute of Technology-2.36-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78Christopher Newport University2.310.3%1st Place
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3.69Virginia Tech1.790.2%1st Place
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9.36Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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4.54Queen's University1.450.1%1st Place
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6.42SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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7.28SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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10.65Syracuse University-0.720.0%1st Place
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3.69Virginia Tech1.790.2%1st Place
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12.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.350.0%1st Place
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6.86Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
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7.67William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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9.35Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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7.51University of Maryland0.450.0%1st Place
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9.84Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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7.94Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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13.86Rochester Institute of Technology-2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 31.8% | 22.8% | 18.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 20.1% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| William Bruce | 12.8% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dane Brazinski | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 14.6% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 20.1% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Johnston | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 31.2% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| Henry Proud | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Larson | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Derek Safieh | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Wiggins | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Hall1 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 6.8% | 13.8% | 64.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.