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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.31+1.76vs Predicted
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2Washington College0.60+4.76vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook0.79+3.30vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.24+5.41vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.79-1.18vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland0.45+1.38vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.72+3.69vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.18+1.27vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.37-1.43vs Predicted
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10Villanova University0.26-1.96vs Predicted
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11Queen's University1.45-6.36vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.49-4.56vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech1.79-9.18vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32-4.15vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-2.36-1.11vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.35-3.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76Christopher Newport University2.310.3%1st Place
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6.76Washington College0.600.1%1st Place
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6.3SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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9.41Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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3.82Virginia Tech1.790.2%1st Place
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7.38University of Maryland0.450.0%1st Place
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10.69Syracuse University-0.720.0%1st Place
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9.27Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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7.57William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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8.04Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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4.64Queen's University1.450.1%1st Place
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7.44SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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3.82Virginia Tech1.790.2%1st Place
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9.85Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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13.89Rochester Institute of Technology-2.360.0%1st Place
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12.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 33.5% | 22.4% | 15.7% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Proud | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 17.9% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Derek Safieh | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dane Brazinski | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Larson | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 6.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| William Bruce | 12.9% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 17.9% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Wiggins | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Hall1 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 15.3% | 63.5% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Johnston | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 31.6% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.