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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College1.69+3.34vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.79+2.07vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.60+4.21vs Predicted
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4Queen's University1.45+0.97vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.79-0.93vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook0.79+0.84vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University2.31-3.94vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.37-0.13vs Predicted
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9Columbia University-0.24+0.74vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland1.00-3.87vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.18-1.45vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology-2.36+1.89vs Predicted
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13Villanova University0.26-4.54vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University-1.01-2.25vs Predicted
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15Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32-5.16vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.35-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34SUNY Maritime College1.690.1%1st Place
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4.07Virginia Tech1.790.2%1st Place
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7.21Washington College0.600.1%1st Place
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4.97Queen's University1.450.1%1st Place
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4.07Virginia Tech1.790.2%1st Place
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6.84SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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3.06Christopher Newport University2.310.3%1st Place
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7.87William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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9.74Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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6.13University of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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9.55Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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13.89Rochester Institute of Technology-2.360.0%1st Place
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8.46Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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11.75Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
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9.84Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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12.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Kahler | 14.4% | 16.6% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 15.3% | 18.6% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Proud | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bruce | 11.8% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 15.3% | 18.6% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 25.5% | 22.0% | 18.1% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Michael Bisson | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Larson | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Hall1 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 16.3% | 62.3% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Colby | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 19.7% | 23.3% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Alex Wiggins | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Johnston | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 28.8% | 18.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.