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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.22+1.23vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.80+0.78vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.04-0.50vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.32+0.93vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine0.90+0.58vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.73-0.20vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.56-0.90vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.49-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23College of Charleston3.220.3%1st Place
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2.78University of South Florida2.800.2%1st Place
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2.5University of Hawaii3.040.3%1st Place
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4.93Tulane University1.320.0%1st Place
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5.58University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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5.8University of South Florida0.730.0%1st Place
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6.1Eckerd College0.560.0%1st Place
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6.08Northwestern University0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hall | 34.9% | 29.0% | 20.7% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 21.8% | 23.4% | 26.2% | 16.5% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 27.4% | 27.3% | 24.7% | 12.9% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Mary Duncan | 4.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 17.2% | 21.5% | 17.1% | 15.0% | 7.7% |
| Kate Andersen | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 13.0% | 17.5% | 21.3% | 19.9% | 15.4% |
| Christine Sayler | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 19.2% | 20.0% | 21.3% |
| Julia Melton | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 17.0% | 22.2% | 28.8% |
| Gabrielle Salvaterra | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 14.0% | 19.7% | 21.8% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.