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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.31+2.00vs Predicted
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2Washington College0.60+5.12vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.79+1.04vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.37+3.94vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.45-0.02vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-0.24+3.70vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.69-2.67vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook0.79-1.23vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-1.01+2.60vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech1.79-5.96vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland1.00-4.79vs Predicted
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12Villanova University0.26-3.72vs Predicted
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13Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32-2.88vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.18-4.34vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.35-2.65vs Predicted
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16Rochester Institute of Technology-2.36-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0Christopher Newport University2.310.3%1st Place
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7.12Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
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4.04Virginia Tech1.790.2%1st Place
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7.94William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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4.98Queen's University1.450.1%1st Place
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9.7Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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4.33SUNY Maritime College1.690.2%1st Place
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6.77SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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11.6Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
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4.04Virginia Tech1.790.2%1st Place
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6.21University of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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8.28Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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10.12Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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9.66Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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12.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.350.0%1st Place
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13.89Rochester Institute of Technology-2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 28.9% | 21.7% | 17.3% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Proud | 4.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 16.0% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Bruce | 11.0% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Kahler | 15.1% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Colby | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 13.8% | 19.9% | 22.1% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 16.0% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Bisson | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Wiggins | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Connor Larson | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Johnston | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 27.9% | 20.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Hall1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 16.2% | 63.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.