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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.45+3.91vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook0.79+4.63vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.60+4.23vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University2.31-0.94vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.79-0.80vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College1.69-1.70vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech1.79-2.80vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.37-0.11vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland1.00-2.88vs Predicted
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10Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32-0.16vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-1.01+0.68vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-0.24-2.27vs Predicted
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13Villanova University0.26-4.54vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.18-4.25vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-2.36-1.08vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.35-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91Queen's University1.450.1%1st Place
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6.63SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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7.23Washington College0.600.1%1st Place
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3.06Christopher Newport University2.310.3%1st Place
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4.2Virginia Tech1.790.2%1st Place
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4.3SUNY Maritime College1.690.1%1st Place
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4.2Virginia Tech1.790.2%1st Place
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7.89William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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6.12University of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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9.84Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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11.68Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
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9.73Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.46Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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9.75Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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13.92Rochester Institute of Technology-2.360.0%1st Place
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12.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bruce | 12.7% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Proud | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 25.8% | 22.6% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 16.0% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Kahler | 14.6% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 16.0% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Bisson | 6.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Wiggins | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 7.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| John Colby | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 18.5% | 23.1% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Larson | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Hall1 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 62.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Johnston | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 30.0% | 18.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.