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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.45+3.85vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook0.79+4.56vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.69+1.29vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University2.31-0.88vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.79-0.80vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-1.01+5.61vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech1.79-2.80vs Predicted
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8Columbia University-0.24+1.67vs Predicted
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9Villanova University0.26-0.73vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.60-2.76vs Predicted
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11Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32-1.03vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-0.18-2.46vs Predicted
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13William and Mary0.37-4.89vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland1.00-7.65vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.35-2.65vs Predicted
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16Rochester Institute of Technology-2.36-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85Queen's University1.450.1%1st Place
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6.56SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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4.29SUNY Maritime College1.690.1%1st Place
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3.12Christopher Newport University2.310.3%1st Place
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4.2Virginia Tech1.790.2%1st Place
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11.61Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
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4.2Virginia Tech1.790.2%1st Place
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9.67Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.27Villanova University0.260.0%1st Place
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7.24Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
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9.97Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
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9.54Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.11William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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6.35University of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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12.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.350.0%1st Place
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13.86Rochester Institute of Technology-2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bruce | 12.5% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Kahler | 14.9% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 25.9% | 21.1% | 17.6% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 15.9% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Colby | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 21.5% | 20.9% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 15.9% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Henry Proud | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Wiggins | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Connor Larson | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Bisson | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Johnston | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 28.8% | 19.4% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Hall1 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 17.0% | 61.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.