← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Virginia Tech1.79+3.11vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University2.31+1.01vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Stony Brook0.79+3.68vs Predicted
-
4University of Maryland1.00+2.18vs Predicted
-
5Washington College0.60+2.33vs Predicted
-
6Syracuse University-0.72+4.94vs Predicted
-
7Columbia University-0.24+2.65vs Predicted
-
8SUNY Maritime College1.69-3.61vs Predicted
-
9Princeton University-0.18+0.52vs Predicted
-
10Virginia Tech1.79-5.89vs Predicted
-
11Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32-0.98vs Predicted
-
12Queen's University1.45-6.98vs Predicted
-
13William and Mary0.37-4.84vs Predicted
-
14Villanova University0.21-5.36vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.35-2.59vs Predicted
-
16Rochester Institute of Technology-2.36-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.11Virginia Tech1.790.2%1st Place
-
3.01Christopher Newport University2.310.3%1st Place
-
6.68SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
-
6.18University of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
-
7.33Washington College0.600.1%1st Place
-
10.94Syracuse University-0.720.0%1st Place
-
9.65Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
-
4.39SUNY Maritime College1.690.1%1st Place
-
9.52Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
-
4.11Virginia Tech1.790.2%1st Place
-
10.02Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
-
5.02Queen's University1.450.1%1st Place
-
8.16William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
-
8.64Villanova University0.210.0%1st Place
-
12.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.350.0%1st Place
-
13.93Rochester Institute of Technology-2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Bay | 16.6% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 25.8% | 24.1% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Bisson | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Proud | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dane Brazinski | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 19.2% | 16.7% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Kahler | 14.3% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Larson | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 7.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 16.6% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Wiggins | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 10.7% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| William Bruce | 11.3% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jameson Parker | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Johnston | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 30.0% | 20.9% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Hall1 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 16.7% | 64.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.