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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.45+3.88vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.79+2.04vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University2.31+0.03vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook0.79+2.77vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland1.00+1.23vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.79-1.96vs Predicted
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7Villanova University0.21+1.43vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College1.69-3.66vs Predicted
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9Columbia University-0.24+0.69vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.35+2.40vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.60-3.58vs Predicted
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12William and Mary0.37-4.01vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University-0.72-1.81vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.18-4.29vs Predicted
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15Rochester Institute of Technology-2.36-1.00vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology-0.32-6.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88Queen's University1.450.1%1st Place
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4.04Virginia Tech1.790.2%1st Place
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3.03Christopher Newport University2.310.3%1st Place
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6.77SUNY Stony Brook0.790.1%1st Place
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6.23University of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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4.04Virginia Tech1.790.2%1st Place
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8.43Villanova University0.210.0%1st Place
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4.34SUNY Maritime College1.690.1%1st Place
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9.69Columbia University-0.240.0%1st Place
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12.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.350.0%1st Place
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7.42Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
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7.99William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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11.19Syracuse University-0.720.0%1st Place
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9.71Princeton University-0.180.0%1st Place
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14.0Rochester Institute of Technology-2.360.0%1st Place
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9.88Stevens Institute of Technology-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bruce | 12.7% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 15.7% | 17.8% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 26.7% | 21.9% | 17.6% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Gilmore III | 5.9% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Bisson | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 15.7% | 17.8% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jameson Parker | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Kahler | 14.1% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabel De La Torre | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 8.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Johnston | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 30.9% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Proud | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dane Brazinski | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 17.8% | 18.7% | 6.9% | 0.0% |
| Connor Larson | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Hall1 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 16.1% | 65.6% | 0.0% |
| Alex Wiggins | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.