Race 12B

leroy-grant

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Michael Bisson 8.8% 8.4% 11.8% 10.1% 11.9% 9.4% 10.3% 7.6% 7.1% 5.7% 4.1% 3.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Isabel De La Torre 2.5% 2.4% 3.6% 3.0% 4.2% 6.6% 6.7% 8.1% 9.9% 9.2% 10.5% 11.3% 12.0% 8.1% 1.9% 0.0%
James Gilmore III 6.4% 7.5% 8.6% 9.4% 10.2% 9.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.1% 4.8% 3.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor Larson 2.0% 2.9% 3.1% 4.5% 4.7% 6.4% 6.1% 6.9% 8.6% 11.5% 9.0% 13.6% 11.4% 6.7% 2.6% 0.0%
William Bruce 12.4% 13.9% 12.2% 11.8% 13.7% 10.1% 8.8% 6.9% 3.8% 2.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Henry Proud 5.0% 6.1% 6.8% 7.6% 8.0% 9.4% 11.4% 12.1% 9.1% 8.0% 7.2% 4.9% 3.0% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 18.0% 17.4% 16.0% 13.9% 11.9% 8.5% 4.7% 5.0% 2.0% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 18.0% 17.4% 16.0% 13.9% 11.9% 8.5% 4.7% 5.0% 2.0% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Clara Guarascio 4.7% 5.2% 6.6% 8.5% 7.5% 7.5% 9.9% 9.8% 10.6% 9.0% 8.6% 6.3% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Javier Gonzalez Rotge 30.5% 23.8% 16.8% 12.6% 7.6% 4.2% 2.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dane Brazinski 1.0% 1.9% 1.5% 2.3% 1.9% 4.0% 4.3% 5.8% 6.5% 8.4% 8.0% 11.5% 16.7% 19.6% 6.6% 0.0%
Jameson Parker 3.2% 4.9% 4.8% 5.7% 7.2% 8.4% 6.2% 9.2% 9.7% 9.2% 11.0% 9.4% 6.4% 3.6% 1.1% 0.0%
Mike Preston 2.7% 2.4% 4.0% 5.1% 6.0% 7.4% 8.2% 7.8% 10.3% 10.1% 11.4% 11.4% 9.3% 3.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Kevin Johnston 0.3% 0.5% 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 2.6% 2.4% 1.6% 4.3% 4.2% 6.6% 8.0% 14.1% 29.1% 22.2% 0.0%
Alex Wiggins 2.3% 2.3% 2.8% 3.3% 3.2% 6.0% 6.6% 6.8% 6.9% 10.8% 12.4% 12.1% 13.5% 9.4% 1.6% 0.0%
Ethan Hall1 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 1.3% 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 2.8% 3.7% 6.0% 16.4% 63.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.