← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.17+6.64vs Predicted
-
2Hampton University2.26+9.33vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University3.14+4.68vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University3.81+1.03vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University2.72+4.14vs Predicted
-
6Tulane University2.70+3.22vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College2.17+4.42vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston3.75-2.76vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University2.71+0.14vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+0.74vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy3.30-4.00vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University2.04+0.29vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida2.25-2.01vs Predicted
-
14University of Miami2.22-3.02vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University2.89-6.53vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Maritime College1.44-1.83vs Predicted
-
17University of South Florida1.68-3.63vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-10.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.64Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
-
11.33Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
-
7.68Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
-
5.03Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
-
9.14George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
-
9.22Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
-
11.42Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
-
5.24College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
-
9.14Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
-
10.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
-
7.0U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
-
12.29Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
-
10.99University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
-
10.98University of Miami2.220.0%1st Place
-
8.47Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
-
14.17SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
-
13.37University of South Florida1.680.0%1st Place
-
7.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Rosenberg | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% |
| Clark Uhl | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sean Segerblom | 15.4% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% |
| Augie Dale | 13.6% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% |
| Parker Loftus | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Grace Howie | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 10.7% |
| Jensen McTighe | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 5.8% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% |
| Jack Elkin | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 30.0% |
| Brett Putnam | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 20.8% |
| Carrson Pearce | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.