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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.72+8.37vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.70+7.47vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.81+2.23vs Predicted
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4Hampton University2.26+6.91vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.30+1.85vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.17+1.42vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.71+2.21vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.17+3.34vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.25+2.07vs Predicted
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10Cornell University3.14-2.30vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-0.37vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-4.28vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.75-7.78vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.89-5.71vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.04-3.04vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.22-4.67vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College1.44-2.84vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.68-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.37George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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9.47Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
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5.23Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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10.91Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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6.85U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.42Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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9.21Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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11.34Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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11.07University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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7.7Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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10.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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7.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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5.22College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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8.29Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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11.96Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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11.33University of Miami2.220.0%1st Place
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14.16SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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13.12University of South Florida1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sheerin | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Sean Segerblom | 11.7% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% |
| Parker Loftus | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.3% |
| Jensen McTighe | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 4.7% |
| Clark Uhl | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% |
| Carrson Pearce | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Augie Dale | 14.6% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Grace Howie | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 11.5% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 30.3% |
| Brett Putnam | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.