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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.17+6.59vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.72+7.44vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.81+2.22vs Predicted
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4Cornell University3.14+3.46vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.89+3.45vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.25+5.15vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.71+2.26vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-0.61vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.30-2.25vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.04+2.15vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.17+0.59vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.68+1.56vs Predicted
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13Hampton University2.26-2.08vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.70-5.01vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.22-3.75vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.75-10.67vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College1.44-2.83vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-7.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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9.44George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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5.22Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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7.46Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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8.45Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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11.15University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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9.26Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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6.75U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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12.15Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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11.59Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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13.56University of South Florida1.680.0%1st Place
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10.92Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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8.99Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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11.25University of Miami2.220.0%1st Place
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5.33College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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14.17SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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10.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Rosenberg | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Sean Segerblom | 14.5% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Jack Elkin | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% |
| Jensen McTighe | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% |
| Matt Cappetta | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Carrson Pearce | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Parker Loftus | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Grace Howie | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 10.2% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% |
| Brett Putnam | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 21.2% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.4% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% |
| Augie Dale | 13.4% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 18.1% | 28.3% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.