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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+4.33vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.04+10.24vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.25+8.32vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.75+1.26vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.44+8.91vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+1.37vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.72+2.20vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+2.43vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.17+2.47vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.22+1.49vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.17-3.47vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.71-2.46vs Predicted
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13Cornell University3.14-5.64vs Predicted
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14Hampton University2.26-3.22vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.68-1.80vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.89-7.45vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.70-7.62vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.30-11.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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12.24Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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11.32University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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5.26College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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13.91SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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7.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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9.2George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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10.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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11.47Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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11.49University of Miami2.220.0%1st Place
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7.53Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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9.54Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.36Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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10.78Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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13.2University of South Florida1.680.0%1st Place
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8.55Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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9.38Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
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6.63U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 13.3% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.7% |
| Jensen McTighe | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 6.5% |
| Augie Dale | 14.3% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 29.8% |
| Carrson Pearce | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% |
| Clark Uhl | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 5.5% |
| Brett Putnam | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 19.2% |
| Jack Elkin | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% |
| Parker Loftus | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.