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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+4.26vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.72+7.46vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.75+2.36vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.30+2.83vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+2.38vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.71+3.30vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.89+1.50vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.25+3.01vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.17-1.68vs Predicted
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10Cornell University3.14-2.29vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.17+0.63vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College1.44+2.38vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-2.65vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.22-3.07vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.04-3.06vs Predicted
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16Hampton University2.26-4.83vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.70-7.61vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.68-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.26Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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9.46George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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5.36College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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6.83U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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9.3Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.5Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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11.01University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
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7.32Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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7.71Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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11.63Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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14.38SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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10.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Miami2.220.0%1st Place
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11.94Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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11.17Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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9.39Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
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13.11University of South Florida1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 12.6% | 15.1% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Augie Dale | 13.0% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Parker Loftus | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Carrson Pearce | 8.4% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Matt Cappetta | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Jack Elkin | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Jensen McTighe | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Clark Uhl | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 32.8% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% |
| Grace Howie | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 10.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 5.9% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Brett Putnam | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.