← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+6.59vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.17+5.62vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University2.71+6.45vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy3.30+2.79vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston3.75+0.31vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College1.44+8.02vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University3.81-1.85vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida2.25+3.00vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University2.04+2.98vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University3.14-2.30vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida1.68+2.34vs Predicted
-
12Eckerd College2.17-0.19vs Predicted
-
13Tulane University2.70-3.91vs Predicted
-
14University of Miami2.22-3.10vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-4.54vs Predicted
-
16Old Dominion University2.89-7.46vs Predicted
-
17George Washington University2.72-7.64vs Predicted
-
18Hampton University2.26-7.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
-
7.62Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
-
9.45Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
-
6.79U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
-
5.31College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
-
14.02SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
-
5.15Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
-
11.0University of South Florida2.250.0%1st Place
-
11.98Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
-
7.7Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
-
13.34University of South Florida1.680.0%1st Place
-
11.81Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
-
9.09Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
-
10.9University of Miami2.220.0%1st Place
-
10.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
-
8.54Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
-
9.36George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
-
10.87Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrson Pearce | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Parker Loftus | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Augie Dale | 13.9% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 15.2% | 28.4% |
| Sean Segerblom | 13.7% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jensen McTighe | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% |
| Grace Howie | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.4% |
| Clark Uhl | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Brett Putnam | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 21.2% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.6% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% |
| Jack Elkin | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.